Cercado de Espino vs Union Marina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
44.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+255%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercado de Espino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
12 - 0
CDE
74%
14%
12%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 4
DOR
29%
20%
52%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
4 - 1
CDE
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 7
LON
10%
14%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAF
11 - 0
CDE
75%
14%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Union Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
CER
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 8
SFE
21%
19%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 10
DPV
27%
20%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
7 - 0
MAR
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |