Série D Brazil Temporada Regular. Jor. 5

Central SC vs Vitória da Conquista analysis

Central SC Vitória da Conquista
40 ELO 41
-19.1% Tilt -2.7%
5375º General ELO ranking 24293º
217º Country ELO ranking 670º
ELO win probability
42.2%
Central SC
27.4%
Draw
30.4%
Vitória da Conquista

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
Central SC
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.4%
Win probability
Vitória da Conquista
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Central SC
Vitória da Conquista
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2020
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
Central SC
CEN
73%
17%
10%
39 55 16 0
01 Oct. 2020
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
0 - 0
Central SC
CEN
28%
23%
49%
39 32 7 0
27 Sep. 2020
CEN
Central SC
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
46%
27%
26%
41 38 3 -2
19 Sep. 2020
JAC
Jacyobá
2 - 2
Central SC
CEN
22%
23%
55%
42 31 11 -1
04 Sep. 2020
CAM
Campinense
6 - 3
Central SC
CEN
38%
27%
35%
43 43 0 -1

Matches

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória da Conquista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2020
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 4
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
67%
19%
13%
42 32 10 0
02 Oct. 2020
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
0 - 3
ABC
ABC
25%
26%
49%
42 54 12 0
27 Sep. 2020
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 1
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
29%
26%
45%
42 34 8 0
20 Sep. 2020
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 0
Coruripe
COR
63%
21%
16%
43 36 7 -1
26 Jul. 2020
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
3 - 1
Jacobina
JEC
62%
20%
18%
43 34 9 0
X