Central Español FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 3
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 0
LFC
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
JUN
3 - 2
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 3
ROC
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CSC
0 - 1
PEÑ
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BVS
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CSM
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 3
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |