Centenary Stormers vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 3
STO
30%
22%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
GRA
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GAP
1 - 2
STO
61%
18%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
STO
3 - 0
CAB
40%
21%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BRK
0 - 2
STO
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GEO
5 - 1
NOR
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 2
GEO
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
GEO
4 - 1
BRK
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
OLY
7 - 1
GEO
40%
21%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |