Centenary Stormers vs Grange Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
4 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TAR
3 - 1
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
STO
2 - 2
GEO
10%
15%
76%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
ALB
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 3
ALB
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 2
TAR
62%
18%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 1
TOO
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |