Centauros vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOG
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 2
RIO
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOG
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 3
BOG
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |