CENE vs Misto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 5
CEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
AQU
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
CEN
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
3 - 3
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AQU
3 - 0
MIS
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 4
MIS
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
3 - 0
COM
42%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |