SPL Normal Season Round 24

Celtic vs Livingston analysis

Celtic Livingston
82 ELO 73
19.4% Tilt 25%
456º General ELO ranking 527º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
68.9%
Celtic
18.3%
Draw
12.8%
Livingston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
Celtic
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.8%
Win probability
Livingston
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+25%
+7%
Livingston

Points and table prediction

Celtic
Their league position
Livingston
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
92
92
100%
Rangers
79
80
100%
Aberdeen
50
51
100%
Heart of Midlothian
48
48
100%
Hibernian FC
44
44
100%
St. Mirren
44
44
100%
Livingston
42
42
100%
Motherwell
37
37
100%
St. Johnstone
33
33
100%
Dundee United
10º
31
31
10º
0%
Kilmarnock
11º
31
31
11º
0%
Ross County FC
12º
27
27
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Celtic
Livingston
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Celtic
Livingston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
16%
21%
63%
81 70 11 0
21 Jan. 2023
CEL
Celtic
5 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
86%
10%
4%
82 60 22 -1
18 Jan. 2023
CEL
Celtic
4 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
70%
18%
12%
81 71 10 +1
14 Jan. 2023
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
78%
15%
8%
82 68 14 -1
07 Jan. 2023
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
75%
16%
9%
81 68 13 +1

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
LIV
Livingston
0 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
31%
27%
43%
74 77 3 0
21 Jan. 2023
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Livingston
LIV
9%
16%
75%
73 50 23 +1
14 Jan. 2023
STJ
St. Johnstone
2 - 4
Livingston
LIV
30%
29%
41%
73 69 4 0
07 Jan. 2023
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 2
Livingston
LIV
35%
26%
39%
72 65 7 +1
02 Jan. 2023
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
50%
27%
24%
72 67 5 0