Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
1º
1º
1º
48
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
0 - 5
CEL
19%
22%
60%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 3
CEL
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 1
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
4 - 1
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
ROS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |