Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 3-2
Celtic vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 0
JAB
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
6 - 0
DUN
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
JAB
2 - 4
CEL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
27%
24%
50%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 0
AZA
9%
18%
74%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
RSO
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
OFI
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 0
PAN
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |