LaLiga Round 21

Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Celta Real Zaragoza
78 ELO 79
-2.2% Tilt -16.2%
59º General ELO ranking 616º
13º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
50.6%
Celta
25%
Draw
24.4%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
Celta
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+3%
-11%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Celta
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 1971
ATH
Athletic
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
69%
20%
11%
77 86 9 0
24 Jan. 1971
CEL
Celta
3 - 2
Atlético
ATM
33%
30%
37%
77 87 10 0
17 Jan. 1971
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Celta
CEL
79%
15%
7%
77 86 9 0
10 Jan. 1971
CEL
Celta
0 - 0
CD Málaga
MAL
62%
22%
16%
77 75 2 0
03 Jan. 1971
SPO
Real Sporting
4 - 0
Celta
CEL
55%
24%
21%
78 72 6 -1

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 1971
UDL
UD Las Palmas
4 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
80 79 1 0
24 Jan. 1971
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 2
Athletic
ATH
45%
26%
29%
80 86 6 0
17 Jan. 1971
ATM
Atlético
3 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
81 87 6 -1
10 Jan. 1971
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
1 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
46%
27%
27%
81 86 5 0
03 Jan. 1971
MAL
CD Málaga
1 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
81 74 7 0