LaLiga Round 16

Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis

Celta Real Zaragoza
78 ELO 72
12% Tilt 6.3%
59º General ELO ranking 616º
13º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Celta
17.1%
Draw
14%
Real Zaragoza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
Celta
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+3%
-11%
Real Zaragoza

ELO progression

Celta
Real Zaragoza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 1956
CEL
Celta
0 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
29%
23%
48%
78 90 12 0
16 Dec. 1956
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Celta
CEL
70%
15%
14%
78 84 6 0
02 Dec. 1956
CEL
Celta
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
RSO
65%
19%
16%
78 78 0 0
25 Nov. 1956
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Celta
CEL
85%
10%
6%
79 89 10 -1
18 Nov. 1956
CEL
Celta
3 - 0
Athletic
ATH
26%
23%
52%
77 90 13 +2

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 1956
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 2
UD Las Palmas
UDL
54%
21%
25%
72 75 3 0
16 Dec. 1956
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 3
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
89%
7%
4%
72 90 18 0
02 Dec. 1956
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 0
Valencia
VCF
36%
23%
41%
72 84 12 0
25 Nov. 1956
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
72 78 6 0
18 Nov. 1956
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
24%
24%
52%
70 90 20 +2