Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEL
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 22 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 2
CEL
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 1
OSA
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
CAS
1 - 2
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
MUR
1 - 1
REC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
OLI
0 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
MUR
1 - 1
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
MER
1 - 1
MUR
26%
32%
42%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |