Celta vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ELC
2 - 0
CEL
42%
32%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
CEL
4 - 1
SEV
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CEL
3 - 0
GRA
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
BET
1 - 0
CEL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
SEV
2 - 0
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
MUR
0 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 0
BUR
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
UDL
5 - 0
MUR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
MUR
3 - 1
ATM
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
3 - 1
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |