Celta vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
CEL
33%
28%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
9%
17%
75%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 1
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
RMA
11%
17%
72%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 2
RAY
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RAY
1 - 0
MAL
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FCB
6 - 1
RAY
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |