Celta vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
PUE
1 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 0
CFC
63%
24%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
CAD
2 - 0
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 2
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 0
OVI
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
NOI
2 - 0
LUG
24%
29%
48%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
LUG
0 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
LEM
0 - 0
LUG
29%
29%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
LUG
2 - 1
CEL
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
DEP
2 - 2
LUG
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |