Celaya vs Tlaxcala FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
TAM
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 3
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Tlaxcala FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
TIA
1 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
TIA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
TIA
1 - 1
DOR
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
TIA
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
TIA
2 - 1
ZAC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +2 |