Celaya Premier vs Universidad Michoacana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
HID
1 - 2
CEL
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
CEL
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
4 - 3
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Michoacana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
HID
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 3
PAT
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEL
5 - 0
MIC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 4
MAL
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUA
1 - 1
MIC
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |