Ceilândia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
4 - 3
CFZ
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
1 - 4
GAM
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 2
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |