Ceilândia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 0
CEC
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 0
CEI
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
CEC
0 - 0
CEI
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 2
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
DOM
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
2 - 1
LUZ
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
1 - 2
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
4 - 1
DOM
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |