Ceilândia vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CEI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
CEI
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
CEI
1 - 3
ATL
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -3 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
CEI
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
BOA
0 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOA
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 2
BOA
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |