Ceilandense vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
GAM
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 4
BDF
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
3 - 3
GAM
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
DOM
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 2
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |