Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
CEF
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 1
RTW
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
CEF
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 0
AEL
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CON
8 - 0
LLA
83%
11%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AEL
1 - 2
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CON
4 - 0
LLA
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |