Cebarca vs Numancia de Ares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MIN
7 - 0
CEB
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEB
2 - 1
GAL
36%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEB
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CEB
0 - 1
PON
17%
19%
64%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ORT
3 - 0
CEB
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia de Ares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
GAL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
NUM
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NUM
3 - 4
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
NUM
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NUM
3 - 1
ROS
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |