Ceará vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CEA
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AMF
4 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |