Ceará vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2003 |
AMF
2 - 2
CEA
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
CEA
3 - 1
REM
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CEA
1 - 1
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CEA
3 - 0
CRB
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 1
CRZ
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
4 - 3
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
PAU
1 - 2
PAL
12%
22%
67%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
REM
2 - 1
PAL
23%
23%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |