Ceará vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 0
TOM
77%
17%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 0
DEP
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 2
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
ALT
89%
9%
3%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
FLA
2%
12%
86%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 3
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |