Ceará vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1985 |
CEA
1 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
2 - 1
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
4 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
32%
28%
39%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
0 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAH
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
VNG
0 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
5 - 0
DES
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
BAN
3 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |