Ceará vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 1
CEA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 3
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 0
COT
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
AVA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |