Ceará vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 1
SCI
43%
28%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
AVA
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
CUI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 2
PAL
14%
24%
62%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
AVA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |