Ceará vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRI
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
CEA
0 - 0
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
SOB
0 - 2
CEA
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
CEA
2 - 2
VAS
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
VAS
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
RIO
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATM
26%
29%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
ATM
0 - 1
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |