Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
3 - 0
LEO
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATS
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 3
JUA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |