Cruz Azul vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 4
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |