CDR Guará vs Grêmio Jaciara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
1 - 2
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Jaciara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEC
2 - 0
GRE
39%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
CEC
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2007 |
URO
0 - 0
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |