La Serena vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
2º
19
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 48 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 47 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 19 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
32% | 17% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28.5% | 27.5% |
|
Next round
|
38% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 1
DLS
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 0
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 1
DLS
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DLS
0 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
CSD
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OHI
1 - 0
MAG
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 3
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 3
COQ
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 2
MAG
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |