Torneo Transición Primera B Chile Round 9

La Serena vs Barnechea analysis

La Serena Barnechea
57 ELO 59
-4.7% Tilt 3.2%
1132º General ELO ranking 21800º
14º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
41.6%
La Serena
26.6%
Draw
31.9%
Barnechea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
La Serena
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.9%
Win probability
Barnechea
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

La Serena
Barnechea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Serena
La Serena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2018
LAU
Lautaro de Buin
1 - 0
La Serena
DLS
21%
20%
59%
58 49 9 0
21 Apr. 2018
SWA
Santiago Wanderers
1 - 1
La Serena
DLS
64%
22%
14%
57 68 11 +1
15 Apr. 2018
DCO
Deportes Copiapó
2 - 2
La Serena
DLS
42%
27%
31%
57 58 1 0
01 Apr. 2018
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 1
La Serena
DLS
57%
23%
21%
58 60 2 -1
25 Mar. 2018
DLS
La Serena
0 - 0
Magallanes
MAG
50%
26%
24%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Barnechea
Barnechea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2018
BAR
Barnechea
3 - 1
San Marcos Arica
SAN
54%
24%
22%
57 57 0 0
14 Apr. 2018
BAR
Barnechea
2 - 2
Magallanes
MAG
53%
24%
22%
57 57 0 0
31 Mar. 2018
BAR
Barnechea
3 - 3
Cobresal
CSL
33%
26%
41%
57 66 9 0
24 Mar. 2018
CDM
CD Melipilla
0 - 2
Barnechea
BAR
38%
26%
36%
56 53 3 +1
17 Mar. 2018
BAR
Barnechea
1 - 1
Rangers Talca
CSD
54%
23%
23%
56 55 1 0