San Telmo vs Carejas Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 0
TEL
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TEL
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TEL
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TEL
3 - 0
GUI
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TEL
2 - 0
CER
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
AMI
63%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 0
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
FRO
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 3
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |