CONCACAF Champions Group D Round 4

CD Olimpia vs Toluca analysis

CD Olimpia Toluca
74 ELO 84
-8.4% Tilt -8.4%
1182º General ELO ranking 323º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.4%
CD Olimpia
27.9%
Draw
43.7%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
CD Olimpia
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.7%
Win probability
Toluca
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Olimpia
+36%
+25%
Toluca

ELO progression

CD Olimpia
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Olimpia
CD Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2010
OLI
CD Olimpia
2 - 0
FAS
FAS
62%
22%
16%
73 61 12 0
12 Sep. 2010
OLI
CD Olimpia
0 - 1
Platense FC
PLA
54%
25%
20%
73 67 6 0
05 Sep. 2010
OLI
CD Olimpia
1 - 1
FC Motagua
MOT
46%
27%
27%
73 72 1 0
29 Aug. 2010
DSA
Deportes Savio
1 - 1
CD Olimpia
OLI
23%
29%
48%
73 60 13 0
27 Aug. 2010
TOL
Toluca
4 - 0
CD Olimpia
OLI
68%
20%
12%
74 84 10 -1

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
América
AME
55%
24%
21%
84 81 3 0
16 Sep. 2010
TOL
Toluca
3 - 0
Puerto Rico Islanders
PRI
74%
17%
9%
84 68 16 0
11 Sep. 2010
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
38%
28%
35%
84 79 5 0
29 Aug. 2010
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
70%
20%
10%
84 69 15 0
27 Aug. 2010
TOL
Toluca
4 - 0
CD Olimpia
OLI
68%
20%
12%
84 74 10 0