Clausura Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 4-6
CD Olimpia vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 2
OLI
29%
23%
47%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 0
PLA
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JUT
3 - 5
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VID
2 - 2
OLI
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 2
OLI
29%
23%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HNP
1 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
3 - 2
JUT
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RES
2 - 1
HNP
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |