CONCACAF Champions Cup . Final
Global 4-0
CD Olimpia vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
LDA
0 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 1
LDA
54%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1986 |
OLI
2 - 0
AUR
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
OLI
1 - 0
DEF
67%
17%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
DEF
2 - 0
OLI
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
DEF
2 - 0
RHO
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
RHO
0 - 0
DEF
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
AME
2 - 0
DEF
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
DEF
1 - 1
AME
34%
23%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
OLI
1 - 0
DEF
67%
17%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |