Honduras Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 3-5
CD Olimpia vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
5 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
VIC
3 - 6
OLI
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
PLA
0 - 3
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 3
MAR
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
RES
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +3 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NAH
0 - 0
MAR
23%
28%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |