Clausura Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-4
FC Motagua vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
MOT
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MOT
0 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MOT
0 - 4
OLI
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 4
MOT
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
RES
2 - 1
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
COM
3 - 1
RES
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BRO
0 - 2
RES
20%
28%
52%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
RES
2 - 0
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
RES
54%
25%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
RES
2 - 1
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |