CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 3
MAR
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 0
DSA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
VIC
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 0
MOT
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
MOT
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
4 - 1
DSA
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
MOT
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |