CD Málaga vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 2
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 1
MAL
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
MAL
9 - 2
HER
50%
20%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
MAL
2 - 0
RCD
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAL
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
VAL
7 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
RCD
3 - 1
VAL
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAR
56%
20%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEV
36%
21%
43%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |