CD Lorca vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ATC
4 - 0
LOR
55%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LOR
0 - 1
AGU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ALB
3 - 1
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LOR
2 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ELD
5 - 0
LOR
88%
8%
3%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
IMP
5 - 0
ROD
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
IMP
3 - 0
RAY
84%
10%
5%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
ORI
1 - 1
IMP
31%
26%
42%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
IMP
3 - 1
ALI
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |