Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Leones del Norte vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IMB
1 - 1
CLN
69%
19%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CLN
2 - 1
CDS
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
2 - 1
CLN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CLN
0 - 1
CDA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
0 - 2
CLN
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IMB
1 - 1
CLN
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
PEL
2 - 4
IMB
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IMB
1 - 1
PEL
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
IMB
3 - 1
FIL
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FIL
2 - 2
IMB
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |