CD Ursaria vs EF Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
URS
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
URS
1 - 0
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
URS
3 - 3
SMV
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
URS
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SEU
2 - 3
URS
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EF Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
SMV
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
ARG
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
SEU
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |