CD Guadalajara vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAD
16%
24%
61%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 0
GUA
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
ELC
20%
27%
54%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
GUA
72%
20%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 1
SAB
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUM
66%
21%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |