Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . Last 16
Global 3-2
Miguel Iturralde vs Portoviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Iturralde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CLF
0 - 1
MIG
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MIG
2 - 2
CLF
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AZS
0 - 4
MIG
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MIG
2 - 1
AZS
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portoviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
PSC
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PSC
0 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
MON
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
POR
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |