CD El Nacional vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UCE
4 - 3
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 2
UCE
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 1
CUE
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 0
LIG
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |